Production Projections

The table below shows DTI's latest projections of UKCS oil, NGL and gas production for the period 2004-2009. They are based on detailed field-by-field data provided by all operators but have been adjusted to reflect experience of actual production compared to company expectations.

Production of oil from the UKCS is expected to continue to decline across the current forecast period. Output from the large Buzzard field is expected to support aggregate production between 2005 and 2007, after which the profile resumes its decline. The projections shown here are presented as a range of possible outcomes, because the pace of the decline in production is dependent on a number of different factors, including the level of investment, the success of further exploration and the use of secondary recovery techniques on mature fields. The projection for gas production relates to UKCS production available for sale. The rate of decline in gas production is expected to moderate between 2005 and 2007 before resuming a more rapid fall from 2008. The timing and extent of the decline remains uncertain and is subject to a range of factors, including investment decisions and success in exploration.

This data was last updated on : October 2004 and is due to be updated on : March 2005

If any errors are found or if you have any comments or other queries please contact:

Mike Earp
email: mike.earp@dti.gsi.gov.uk
phone: +44 (0) 20 7215 5271
fax: +44 (0) 20 7215 6691

Back | Title | Table of Contents
Appendix 1 | Appendix 2 | Appendix 3 | Appendix 4 | Appendix 5 | Appendix 6 | Appendix 7 | Appendix 8 | Appendix 9
Appendix 10 | Appendix 11 | Appendix 12 | Appendix 13 | Appendix 14 | Appendix 15 | Appendix 16 | Appendix 17
Index Map | Plate 1 | Plate 2W | Plate 2E | Plate 3W | Plate 3E | Plate 4W | Plate 4E | Plate 5 | Plate 6
Plate 7 | Plate 8W | Plate 8E | Plate 9W | Plate 9E | Plate 10W | Plate 10E | Plate 11 | Plate 12 | Legend